Tinubu: Boldly Steering Nigeria’S Future Towards Economic Stability And Growth

By Maxwell Adeyemi Adeleye 

In October 2023, I authored a widely circulated article wherein I descended on the Nigerian President, Bola Ahmed Tinubu over the embarrassing state of the country’s economy. I lampooned the President, among other things, over the hemorrhaging fall of naira and the rising cost of food items in the most populous Black Country in the world.

However, with the current economic challenges and hardship plaguing Nigerians increasingly at an alarming rate, particularly, the hike in the cost of goods and services, it is important to provide an unbiased perspective and the underlying complexities of the situation. 

After the removal of the fuel subsidy by President Tinubu immediately after his inauguration on May 29th, 2023, the country has been on a roller-coaster of various economic challenges. This important action demands scrutiny, and also some recognition for the intended efforts - eradicating the systematic issues that had plagued Nigeria for decades.

Firstly, it's essential to acknowledge that Nigeria's economic woes are not unique. Sovereign nations worldwide, including the United Kingdom (UK) and Japan, two of the mightiest economies, are grappling with recessionary pressures and rising costs. Even the almighty UK fell into recession in the last quarter of 2023, and is still battling with a shrinking economy. 

The major difference that sets Nigeria apart is the lack of basic infrastructures, crucial for economic development. Roads, electricity, water, and education are fundamental pillars for any thriving society, and their absence in Nigeria has constituted to our belief of every country’s economy being better than ours. But again, Nigeria’s under-development is a constant menace that has been deterring the growth for decades, even before Tinubu’s ascension as the President.

A critical aspect often overlooked is the endemic corruption that has permeated Nigerian governance since independence. Every past administration, including the People's Democratic Party (PDP) and the Buhari led administrations have been characterized by instances of mismanagement and squandering of trillions of naira on failed projects without mercy.

The Nigeria Air project which consumed #85billion under the Buhari government, according to Business Day, yielded no result. The Ajaokuta steel project in Kogi state which gulped $400million under the Buhari led administration, and many others, remains a testament to the negligence of previous administrations. Olu Agunloye, the Power Minister under the Obasanjo led administration was recently brought into court in Abuja, the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) over his mismanagement of the $5.4billion Mambila power project funds. Many of these projects would have contributed to the development of the country’s economy; rather the allocated funds were either embezzled or squandered. 

Under the Buhari administration, the mismanagement of foreign reserves, multiple exchange rates, and questionable allocation of funds have been glaring issues. The utilization of foreign exchange to fund religious trips instead of bolstering production underscores the need for a more prudent approach to economic management. Despite the decision to print trillions of naira to sustain the economy by the Buhari led administration, Nigeria’s debt hit N53 trillion in eight years. Therefore, it is necessary for the present government to provide a bold action to counter and reduce Nigeria’s debt profile such as floating the naira, despite the short-term challenges it may entail.

Moreover, the Tinubu’s administration policies on importation that have stirred up an uproar, when considered in positive light, can become an excellent transformation for Nigeria’s economy. The abandonment of agriculture, the major backbone of Nigeria's economy, in favor of crude oil has contributed significantly to the collapse of the naira and the country's overreliance on imports. The position of Nigeria as a consuming economy rather than a producing one has further influenced Nigeria's economic challenges, turning it into a dumping ground for foreign goods.

Nigeria’s dependence on importation has led to unfavorable trade balances, terms of trade, and even trade policies. This development led to the folding up of many local industries like Errand products, Technoflex Company Limited, UTC foods, and many more, further diminishing the economic and social development of Nigeria. Without supporting local production, internal development, and implementing favorable importation policies, economic growth will remain a challenge. To become a developed nation and compete in the global market, these are the minimal pains that Nigerians must withstand to wax stronger.

The issue of fuel subsidy removal, which has constantly pitched Nigerians on edge against President Tinubu’s administration, is a massive force that triggered the down-spiraling of the economy. However, this would have been the case with or without President Tinubu's emergence as Nigeria’s president. During the 2023 presidential election, major candidates like Atiku Abubakar, Peter Obi, all spearheaded their campaign with the promise of fuel subsidy removal as the way to curb the corruption disguised as subsidy. While subsidy removal may initially cause discomfort, it also poses its advantageous sides for the nation, leading to increased FAAC allocation for state and local governments, enhancing development at the state level which is closer to the grassroots government. 

It takes courage to drive substantive change in the face of entrenched interests and systemic challenges. Bola Ahmed Tinubu's government, while not immune to criticism, has displayed a willingness to confront these issues head-on. Floating the naira is a necessary step towards a more sustainable economic future, laying the foundation for a long-term prosperity. While the road ahead may be daunting and difficult, it is imperative that we acknowledge and support bold initiatives aimed at steering Nigeria’s future towards economic stability and growth.

Maxwell Adeleye, a Communication-for-Development Expert, sent this piece from London, United Kingdom (UK). He can be reached via [email protected]